Deputy SACEUR Bradshaw

For Deputy SACEUR General Bradshaw,the  new Cold War is already underway as is "era of constant competition with Russia". He refers to Russia as an “adversary” which may try to grab land from NATO members and which represents an “existential threat.”  See main points of his recent speech at RUSI below:
“The latest security challenges facing NATO,” Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Europe Gen. Andrew Bradshaw, RUSI, 02.20.15.
·      " There are two particular dangers that the new Russian strategy holds for NATO
1.     Difficulty of identifying clearly of the hostile state government in subversive destabilizing effect they bring to bear in early stages of such a strategy, the resulting ambiguity making collective decisions relating to the appropriate responses more difficult.
2.      Danger that Russia might believe that the large conventional forces – that it showed that it can generate at very short notice—as we saw in the snap exercise that had preceded the takeover of Crimea – could in future be used for intimidation and coercion, but potentially to seize NATO territory, after which the threat of escalation might be used to prevent reestablishment of territorial integrity.
o   This use of so-called escalation dominance was, of course, a classic Soviet technique.
·       The threat from Russia, together with the risk – that it brings – of a miscalculation resulting into a slide into a strategic conflict, however unlikely we see it as being right now, represents an obvious existential threat to our whole being.
·       The spearhead of the NATO reaction force will be ready to deploy at very short notice in order to convince Russia, or any other state adversary, that any attack on any one NATO member will inevitably lead them into a conflict with the whole alliance.
·       Our information and warning system will be specifically attuned to the range of hybrid threats, including not only the deployment of potentially hostile conventional forces, but also political agitation and subversion, cyberattacks, hostile propaganda, and other destabilizing effects.
·       It’s possible that future developments might see the NATO force integration units also having a role in channeling and in country coordination of a comprehensive range of assistance, both military and non-military, which might be required, to support our eastern members in an era of constant competition with Russia.
·       The renewed focus on Article 5 collective defense might lead us formally to recognize that NATO remains the go-to-organization for all military aspects of collective defense against state players, such as Russia, and also for the planning and leadership of large-scale intervention operations of the sort we have been leading in Afghanistan over the last decade or so."


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