My Selected Analytical Pieces in Reverse Chronological Order

“Time For Russia and Other Great Powers to Move From Words to Actions to End Karabakh War,” The Moscow Times, October 2020.

“Why Russia’s alliance with China is improbable, but not impossible,” FRSTRATEGIE,  September 2020.

“Measuring National Power: Is Putin’s Russia in Decline” with Nabi Abdullaev, Europe-Asia Studies, May 2020.

What Stops US and Russia From Stumbling Into War?” Russia Matters, January 2020.

“Alternative History: Would Russia in NATO and EU Be Game Changer in West’s Rivalry With China?” Russia Matters, November 2019.

How High Is Risk of Nuclear War Between Russia and US?” Russia Matters, August 2019.

With North Korea, Russia Knows It Can Only Play Second Fiddle to China and US ” Russia Matters, April 2019.

5 Years Since Russia’s Intervention in Ukraine: Has Putin’s Gamble Paid Off? ” Russia Matters, April 2019.

Lessons for Leaders: What Afghanistan Taught Russian and Soviet Strategists” Russia Matters, February 2019.

Putin’s Remarks on Use of Nuclear Weapons Are Confusing, But Unlikely to Constitute a Shift in Nuclear Posture ” Russia Matters, November 2018.

When Does Vladimir Putin’s Russia Send In Troops? ” Russia Matters, August 2018.

“China-Russia Relations: Same Bed, Different Dreams?” Russia Matters, June 2018 (with Ali Wyne)

Is Vladimir Putin’s Russia in Decline? We Figured Out How to Measure ‘National Power.’ ” Washington Post, June 2018 (with Nabi Abdullaev).

Armenia: Why Has Vladimir Putin Not Intervened So Far and Will He? ” Moscow Times, April 2018.

From Mutually Assured Destruction to Mutually Assured Delusion ” National Interest, March 2018.

When Does Russia See Red? ” The Moscow Times, January 2018.

Russia: Counterterrorism Partner or Fanning the Flames? ” Congressional Testimony, November 2017,

100,000 Troops Will Engage in Russia’s Zapad-2017 War Games” Washington Post, September 2017.

A Sino-Russian Military-Political Alliance Would Be Bad News for America ” Russia Matters. May 2017.

US-Russian space cooperation: a model for nuclear security”, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, March 2017 (with William Tobey)

The Soviet Collapse and Its Lessons for Modern Russia: Gaidar Revisited ”, Russia Matters, December 2016.

Islamic State and the Bolsheviks: Plenty in Common and Lessons to Heed ,” Russia Matters, December 2016 (with Monica Toft)

Why Trump’s Victory Won’t Drastically Change the U.S.-Russia Relationship,” Huffington Post, November 2016 (with William Tobey)

Yes, Russia’s Military Is Training for a ‘Mega War.’ That’s What Militaries Do. ,” National Interest, August 2016.

Why Russia values a non-nuclear Iran more than higher oil prices ,” Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, August 2016.

Fixing Europe’s collective insecurity,” Boston Globe, July 8, 2016.

What Russia won in Syria,” Boston Globe, March 2016.

Ukraine’s Lost Cause,” Foreign Affairs, February 2016.

Russia’s Actions in Syria: Underlying Interests and Policy Objectives,” Harvard University, November 2015.

Putin’s Russia: Claims Versus Reality,” Huffington Post, November 0215.

 “No, Russia is not in decline – at least not any more and not yet,” Financial Times, April 18, 2016.

Putin Should Make Assad an Offer He Can’t Refuse,” Financial Times, November 11. 2015.

“Knowing when it’s war and how to avoid it,” Financial Times, March 18, 2015.

“Why Hopes of Putin’s Unconditional Surrender Could Prove to Be Futile.” Moscow Times, July 25, 2014.

“How Russia’s Red Line in Ukraine Got Real.” Russia Direct, April 16, 2014.

“Comparing Crimean Apples with Georgian Oranges.” Moscow Times, April 6, 2014.

“Putin’s Long Game.” The National Interest, March 21, 2014.

“Stand-off in Crimea: Cui Bono?.” Power & Policy Blog, March 12, 2014.

“Threat of a Failed Ukraine.” Boston Globe, February 22, 2014.

“The West should not count on Russian sensitivity to casualties to deter Putin,” Washington Post, February 24, 2014.

Yanukovych’s EU Snub Reflects His Desire to Survive Beyond 2015.” RIA Novosti, November 30, 2013.

“What Would Don Fanucci Say on Using Missiles to Coerce Assad?” RIA Novosti, September 13, 2013.

“Russia Needs to Develop Eastern Provinces as China Rises.” RIA Novosti, March 5, 2013.

“7 Lessons of Cuban Crisis for Karabakh Conflict.” The Huffington Post, October 25, 2012.

“U.S.-Russian Space Cooperation as an Example for Cooperating on Missile Defense,” Russia in Global Affairs, June 24, 2012.

“Allegations of Medvedev’s Indecisiveness Help Justify Putin’s Return to Kremlin.” Power & Policy Blog, August 10, 2012.

“Russia: Conscription Crisis Looming?.” International Relations and Security Network, March 30, 2011.

“The Role of China in Russia’s Military Thinking.” International Relations and Security Network, May 4, 2010.

“Russia’s Non-strategic Nuclear Weapons in Their Current Configuration and Posture: A Strategic Asset or Liability?” Paper, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School, February 2010.

“The Role of China in Russia’s Military Thinking” International Relations and Security Network
May 4, 2010.

Saradzhyan, Simon. “Russia’s Support for Zero: Tactical Move or Long-term Commitment?.” Paper, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School, September 11, 2009.

Saradzhyan, Simon. “Stirring Things Up in the Crimea.” International Relations and Security Network, July 15, 2009.

Saradzhyan, Simon. “Russia: Grasping Reality of Nuclear Terror.” Discussion Paper 2003-02, International Security Program, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School, March 2003.

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